-By Warner Todd Huston
The polls for the upcoming presidential election, now only a week away, were already starting to tighten even before the shocking revelations that FBI Director James Comey reopened the investigation into Hillary Clinton’s illegal email server hidden in her Chappaqua home when she was Obama’s Secretary of State. If they were tightening before the renewed criminal investigation into her actions, one shudders to think what they will show early this week once polls taken after the announcement begin to be reflected in their results.
During the middle two weeks of October between the 10th and 21st (the FBI announcement came late on the 28th) many of the presidential polls across the nation had already begun to show movement in favor of GOP nominee Donald Trump. By the end of that period many of the polls had become statistical ties as time and again Trump had closed to within the margin of error (MOE) or close to it both in national as well as state-based surveys.
For instance, the most recent RealClearPolitics.com average of polls taken ending no later than October 27 saw Clinton leading with only a plus 3.4. But in most cases these polls had an MOE of 2 and one half to 3 and one half points meaning that the polls were nearly a statistical tie.
Further the trajectory lines showed Trump gaining throughout October.
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Trump Was Gaining on Clinton Even Before New FBI Investigation Into Her Email Scandal”